Thursday, October 28, 2010

Analysis: GOP takes on board races

by Chuck Raasch - 26 October 2010 12 H.
Gannett

WASHINGTON — an independent are siding with the Republicans, which is bad news for President Barack Obama and his party a week before the elections of November 2.

Some circuit breakers in the wave that their, with a few races across the State moving towards them in new polling stations can built with démocrates.Mais Republicans seem to be maintaining an advantage that has been for most of the year by a fired-up base and independents.

Analysis of last realclearpolitics.com House races Monday had Republicans helped Democrats 222 in 177 with 36 toss ups and seats. If the image group WINS about half of these toss ups, this means House gains of approximately 60 seats, topping the 54 that they acquired their historic election 1994 in which they took control of Congress for the first time in four decades.

The supporter "Cook policy report" lists 16 unusually high Governors as toss ups races, but most experts expect robust Republican modest gains from their current position 24 Governors.

But Democrats hope is the fact that the Governors seats in some of the largest state of the nation are at stake, including Texas, Florida and California. If the Democrats win all or some of them, should be further sting lost elsewhere.Controls governing mansions in these States have a strong hand within the limits how Congress is redrawn after the 2010 census has been completed, and that may affect control of the Congress for the next decade.

"Cook political report" predicted that Republicans will add seats seven to nine to their current 41, what would the GOP or just control half of the seats in the Senate of the United States.If Republicans reached 50, which could put pressure on the independent Senator Joe Lieberman or even conservative Senator Ben Nelson, D - Nebraska, pass the caucus.

Obama and former President Bill Clinton lead efforts by Democrats to verify the Republican gains by campaign as if they were in the final stages of their own presidential campaigns.They do so in an environment less hostile than Clinton face when he was President in 1994.A recent Quinnipiac Ohio voter survey indicated that 32-9 percentage points, they would be less rather than more inclined to vote for a Democrat if Obama has campaigned for the candidat.Parmi independent voters, who has broken an amazing 35-4 against Obama.

Clinton, Obama and Vice President Joe Biden should launch a campaign in Ohio this weekend, where the Democrats are trying to maintain at the headquarters of the Governor Ted Strickland.

A poll published Monday indicated that independent voters are angry with the direction of the country and the Government of Obama and promote 14 pourcentage.Dans points all Republican candidates, Republicans have an advantage by 5 points on the Democrats when it queries the voters who prefer races of the Congress, the survey by George Washington University and politico.

That, coupled with a base of GOP choppy-up and "tea party" activists, was looking for silver linings and find the rare.

With few exceptions, the Democrats seem to do better in the States with narrow races where Obama score is higher than the average nationale.En California, candidate Governor Jerry Brown has surged ahead of Meg Whitman 13 percentage points from a new Los Angeles Times - Republican poll from the University of California's Sud.Le same poll had Barbara Boxer, seeking re-election to the Senate, with a lead of 8 former business executive Carly Fiorina percentage points.

But Republicans think they always have a shot at knocking off the coast of Boxer.La Senate Republican National Committee, announced Sunday spends 3 million dollars in addition to Fiorina.

In Colorado, where a majority work Obama rejection is doing and repeal supports health care reform incumbent Senator Democrat Michael Bennet has pulled even with Republican Ken Buck in a new survey.

In Nevada, where the unpopularity of the Obama rating is 56 percent and unemployment tops 14 percent, Harry Reid Senate majority leader remains securely locked with Republican challenger Sharron Angle.Le result could hinge on the ability of voters to vote for "any of these" or the third party tea-party candidate Scott Ashjian, which apparently hurt angle more.

Relatively high Obama disapproval ratings could revitalize in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida and the Missouri Republican chances have important Governors and Senate contest.

Nowhere is more loved than in West Virginia, where the Democratic Governor Joe Manchin is a struggle with the Republican businessman John Raese for the seat of the Senate of the late Senator Robert Byrd.Un Rasmussen poll last week Obama said 69% of West Virginia disapprove performance work Obama and 72% want to repeal the reform of health care.

Manchin leads a campaign against this law as well as the Democrats backed cap-and-trade energy and climate legislation passed in the House of Commons, but stalled in the Senate.

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